Oriente Petrolero vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 3
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 0
STR
51%
21%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
ALI
5 - 1
OPE
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
SPC
1 - 0
OPE
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
4 - 1
STR
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
STR
2 - 0
DEF
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1977 |
DEF
2 - 4
PEÑ
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1977 |
DEF
0 - 0
RIV
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1977 |
BOC
2 - 0
DEF
82%
12%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |