Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 1
OPE
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
OPE
3 - 0
BLO
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
OPE
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
OPE
2 - 0
RPO
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ROY
0 - 3
OPE
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 0
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
3 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
DRT
1 - 2
AUR
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
AUR
3 - 0
IND
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |