Oriente Petrolero vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
OPE
4 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
OPE
0 - 4
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
2 - 0
OPE
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 1
CCP
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
BOC
0 - 0
OPE
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1996 |
JUN
1 - 0
CCP
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
CCP
0 - 0
JUN
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1996 |
CCP
1 - 0
BSC
50%
28%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
CCP
2 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |