Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-3
Oriente Petrolero vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
BOC
0 - 0
OPE
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
RIV
3 - 1
OPE
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
OPE
2 - 1
BOL
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 0
BOC
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 1
RIV
16%
25%
59%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
1 - 0
CAC
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
0 - 0
UNI
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
CCP
3 - 0
SBO
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
UNI
1 - 1
CCP
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1991 |
SBO
1 - 3
CCP
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |