Oriente Petrolero vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
11º
16º
12º
16
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 8 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 5 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
JWI
3 - 0
OPE
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
OPE
1 - 2
BLO
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
OPE
3 - 0
JWI
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
REA
4 - 1
OPE
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 0
VAC
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BOL
3 - 1
DGV
82%
12%
5%
|
70 | 26 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ROY
1 - 0
BOL
30%
22%
49%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 1
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
SAC
3 - 1
BOL
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 1
DRT
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |