Oriente Petrolero vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
OPE
0 - 3
STR
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
CMV
1 - 0
OPE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
4 - 1
OPE
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
RPO
2 - 2
OPE
43%
25%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
OPE
0 - 1
JWI
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 1
LAN
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 0
ACS
65%
19%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ACS
2 - 1
BOL
33%
23%
44%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 3
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
5 - 0
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |