Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-4
Oriente Petrolero vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
JWI
1 - 2
OPE
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
BOL
4 - 2
OPE
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
OPE
4 - 1
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
STR
4 - 3
OPE
54%
22%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
RPO
3 - 3
OPE
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 3
BOL
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
BOL
4 - 2
OPE
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
STR
0 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
BLO
1 - 1
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 1
RPO
56%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |