Oriente Petrolero vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 0
BOC
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 1
RIV
16%
25%
59%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 0
OPE
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1990 |
OPE
3 - 2
BSC
46%
24%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1990 |
BSC
3 - 1
OPE
62%
20%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 0
BOC
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1991 |
BOL
4 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 0
OPE
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
MIL
3 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
BOL
1 - 0
MIL
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |