Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-6
Oriente Petrolero vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 0
OPE
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
OPE
4 - 1
NAC
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
JWI
5 - 1
OPE
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
OPE
4 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
OPE
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 1
ATT
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
ATT
1 - 1
VEL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
DYJ
3 - 0
ATT
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
ATT
1 - 1
ALB
61%
21%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ATT
1 - 2
SMA
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |