Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Oriente Petrolero vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
COL
0 - 0
OPE
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1988 |
OPE
2 - 1
COL
39%
24%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 1988 |
OLI
1 - 2
OPE
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1988 |
CCP
1 - 0
OPE
62%
21%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1988 |
OPE
1 - 3
BOL
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
UNI
2 - 2
AME
11%
32%
57%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
AME
1 - 0
UNI
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1988 |
AME
1 - 0
MWA
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1988 |
AME
2 - 1
MIL
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |