Oriente Petrolero vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1978 |
STR
2 - 0
OPE
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
CAL
3 - 0
OPE
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1977 |
NAC
3 - 1
OPE
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
OPE
0 - 0
BOL
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
OPE
1 - 0
CAL
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
ALI
2 - 2
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
ALI
2 - 0
LIG
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 May. 1976 |
CRZ
7 - 1
ALI
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1976 |
ALI
0 - 4
CRZ
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1976 |
LIG
2 - 1
ALI
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |