Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
14º
6º
36
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 87.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
46% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
REN
0 - 0
ORI
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 0
CSC
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 0
ORI
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
ORI
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ORI
5 - 0
ATE
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UMO
3 - 0
CSC
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
UMO
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UMO
0 - 1
TOR
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UMO
2 - 0
ALB
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
UMO
27%
28%
44%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |