Oriental vs Tacuarembó FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
ORI
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
BOS
4 - 1
ORI
56%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CEN
3 - 1
ORI
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 2
CSY
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 1
ORI
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
TAC
4 - 2
HFC
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 0
TAC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CSY
3 - 2
TAC
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 0
ATE
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 0
TAC
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |