Oriental vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ORI
2 - 1
TAC
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
ORI
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
BOS
4 - 1
ORI
56%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CEN
3 - 1
ORI
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 2
CSY
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 1
ROC
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 3
ATE
30%
25%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
ROC
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 2
JUN
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 0
ROC
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |