Oriental vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
UMO
0 - 1
ORI
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 4
ALB
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 1
ORI
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 1
JUV
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ATE
0 - 1
ORI
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 2
RAC
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 0
FEN
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 2
RAC
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 2
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 0
RAC
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |