Oriental vs Colón FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
14º
6º
29
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 48 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 48 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 41 |
4º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 36 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 35 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 32 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 31 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 25 |
13º
|
38% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 24 |
14º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
40.5% | 59.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
ORI
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 0
LUZ
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UMO
2 - 1
ORI
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 2
REN
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 1
ORI
19%
25%
55%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Colón FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
CSC
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
TOR
14%
23%
63%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 0
COL
63%
22%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ATE
0 - 0
COL
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
SUD
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |