Oriental vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 2
CSY
43%
25%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 0
BAS
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ORI
2 - 1
POT
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 1
ORI
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
ORI
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 0
CSC
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
CEL
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 0
CEN
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LFC
2 - 1
CEL
75%
16%
8%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 2
TOR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |