Oriental vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
14º
6º
23
3º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
46% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 82.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
ORI
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 2
TOR
28%
26%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
ORI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 4
COL
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
ORI
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 0
CSC
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CSC
2 - 1
JUV
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
CSC
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 0
ALB
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
CSC
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |