Oriental vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 1
ORI
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 1
CAN
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
ORI
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
ORI
2 - 1
HFC
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 1
ORI
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
CSC
1 - 4
VIL
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
HFC
0 - 1
CSC
41%
27%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
CSC
2 - 2
PRO
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ATE
2 - 0
CSC
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CSC
1 - 1
CEL
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |