Oriental vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 3
ORI
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ORI
2 - 5
TAC
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
POT
1 - 2
ORI
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
PLA
2 - 1
ORI
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 2
CAN
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
BVS
1 - 2
DUR
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
BVS
2 - 0
PAY
33%
24%
43%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ROC
0 - 3
BVS
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
BVS
1 - 3
CSM
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 1
BVS
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |