Oriental vs Basáñez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
ORI
1 - 1
SAL
77%
14%
9%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
POT
2 - 0
ORI
45%
24%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 3
ORI
17%
20%
64%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 1
PLA
33%
22%
44%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 0
LUZ
34%
22%
44%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HAL
0 - 5
BAS
11%
16%
73%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
0 - 1
BAS
5%
11%
85%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 0
POT
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
4 - 0
CAN
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 0
POT
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |