Oriental vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 0
ORI
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
4 - 3
ORI
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 2
ORI
48%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 1
BOS
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
HFC
1 - 0
ATE
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ATE
2 - 4
JUN
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 3
ATE
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BOS
1 - 0
ATE
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 2
ORI
48%
26%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |