Oriental Lisboa vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPC
0 - 1
ORI
68%
16%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 1
FCP
20%
20%
60%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SPB
3 - 0
ORI
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
ORI
4 - 2
ATL
35%
23%
42%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SCP
9 - 0
ORI
91%
6%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
VST
2 - 3
SPC
45%
22%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
FCP
5 - 0
VST
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
VST
0 - 3
SPB
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
ATL
4 - 0
VST
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |