Oriental Lisboa vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 0
ORI
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
ORI
1 - 1
CDM
26%
25%
48%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1965 |
SCP
4 - 0
ORI
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
ORI
1 - 3
SCP
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
ORI
2 - 1
ACA
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 1
BEL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
LEX
0 - 2
VIT
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
VIT
2 - 1
LEX
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
CDM
1 - 1
VIT
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
VIT
0 - 0
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |