Oriental Lisboa vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
EST
3 - 1
ORI
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ORI
3 - 1
BEL
14%
19%
67%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
ACA
5 - 0
ORI
76%
13%
11%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
SPC
6 - 3
VIT
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
38%
21%
41%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
SCP
5 - 1
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |