Oriental Lisboa vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SLB
3 - 0
ORI
80%
12%
9%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
TOR
4 - 1
ORI
62%
20%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
ORI
2 - 1
FCB
55%
23%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
VST
1 - 1
ORI
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SCP
3 - 0
ATL
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
BEL
2 - 2
SCP
46%
22%
32%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
SCP
6 - 0
CAL
94%
5%
2%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
FAB
0 - 0
SCP
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
68%
17%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |