Oriental Lisboa vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
75.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
FCP
6 - 1
ORI
90%
6%
4%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ORI
3 - 2
ACA
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
SLB
5 - 0
ORI
93%
5%
2%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ORI
1 - 0
FCB
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
ORI
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SCP
7 - 0
ATL
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BOA
1 - 3
SCP
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
SCP
4 - 0
BEL
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
VST
1 - 4
SCP
19%
20%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
SCP
2 - 0
SPB
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |