Oriental Lisboa vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ATL
6 - 2
ORI
69%
16%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ORI
0 - 0
BOA
55%
21%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
BEL
5 - 2
ORI
83%
10%
6%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 1
FCB
40%
20%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
FCB
6 - 1
ORI
57%
19%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
SPC
2 - 2
SCP
18%
20%
61%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPC
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SPC
0 - 2
FCP
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1953 |
SPC
3 - 0
VIT
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
VIT
5 - 1
SPC
56%
20%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -2 |