Oriental Lisboa vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 0
BEN
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 1
ORI
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CLU
0 - 5
ORI
13%
21%
67%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 0
OPE
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ORI
3 - 0
1DE
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
PIN
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
PAM
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 3
SER
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
BEN
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |