Oriental Lisboa vs Pinhalnovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MOU
0 - 1
ORI
20%
25%
56%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 0
OLH
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
ORI
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
ORI
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ORI
4 - 1
RED
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
PRA
16%
22%
63%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 0
REA
15%
23%
62%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 1
PIN
47%
25%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 1
LOU
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PRA
5 - 1
PIN
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |