Oriental Lisboa vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
MAD
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 0
OLI
61%
21%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 0
ORI
74%
18%
8%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ORI
3 - 0
ORI
21%
25%
54%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +3 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PRA
3 - 0
ORI
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 1
PAR
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 1
PAR
40%
28%
33%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
PAR
35%
29%
36%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
VIL
46%
28%
26%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |