Oriental Lisboa vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ORI
3 - 0
1DE
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
IDE
3 - 3
ORI
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ORI
1 - 4
LOU
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 2
ORI
38%
26%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ORI
3 - 1
PRA
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PRA
0 - 3
OPE
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
OPE
2 - 0
1DE
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
OEL
0 - 4
OPE
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
OPE
0 - 0
IDE
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SIN
2 - 1
OPE
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |