Oriental Lisboa vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
OLH
1 - 1
ORI
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 0
CAS
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
RED
1 - 3
ORI
5%
12%
83%
|
47 | 5 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 1
ARM
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
1DE
1 - 3
ORI
26%
28%
46%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MOU
2 - 2
OLI
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PIN
4 - 2
MOU
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MOU
1 - 2
PRA
9%
19%
72%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
REA
2 - 0
MOU
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MOU
0 - 0
LOU
34%
26%
39%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |