Oriental Lisboa vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
OPE
0 - 2
ORI
23%
25%
53%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ORI
3 - 1
LOU
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 1
ORI
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 0
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ARM
0 - 1
ORI
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 0
LUS
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
MOU
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
IDE
3 - 0
MOU
25%
27%
49%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MOU
4 - 1
EVN
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
MOU
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |