Oriental Lisboa vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ORI
1 - 1
TOU
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
ORI
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 0
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 6
ORI
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ORI
1 - 0
MON
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 2
FAT
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
MOU
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
2 - 2
PIN
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 0
MOU
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 2
JUV
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |