Oriental Lisboa vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CFB
1 - 4
ORI
19%
23%
59%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ORI
5 - 0
1DE
74%
18%
9%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
UDL
3 - 1
ORI
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ORI
5 - 1
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 3
ORI
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
1DE
2 - 3
MAF
27%
27%
47%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MAF
4 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
QUA
0 - 2
MAF
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAF
1 - 1
FAR
23%
26%
50%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 1
MAF
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |