Oriental Lisboa vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
ACA
0 - 1
ORI
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
ORI
3 - 2
FAB
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
FAR
2 - 1
ORI
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
ORI
0 - 1
BMA
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
SLB
8 - 0
ORI
92%
6%
3%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
FCP
2 - 1
FAB
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
FCP
0 - 3
SLB
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
FCP
3 - 1
FAB
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
LEX
2 - 0
FCP
25%
29%
47%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
FCP
4 - 2
BOA
68%
19%
12%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |