Oriental Lisboa vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
51.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
CDM
8 - 1
ORI
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
FAB
4 - 2
ORI
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
ORI
1 - 0
FAR
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
BMA
2 - 3
ORI
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
BEL
3 - 1
ORI
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 1
LEX
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
BOA
0 - 2
FCP
31%
28%
42%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
FCB
1 - 2
FCP
33%
28%
40%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |