Oriental Lisboa vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
UNM
3 - 2
ORI
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ORI
2 - 1
OLH
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 3
ORI
19%
23%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
ORI
10%
17%
73%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 0
IDE
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 1
LUS
43%
22%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
IDE
3 - 1
FCC
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FCC
6 - 0
EVN
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +3 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
FCC
83%
13%
5%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 1
FCC
65%
20%
14%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |