Oriental Lisboa vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
ORI
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
SPC
3 - 0
ORI
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ORI
1 - 2
ATL
42%
24%
35%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
BOA
3 - 1
ORI
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ORI
3 - 0
BEL
19%
24%
56%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 2
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
BOA
3 - 1
FCB
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 1
BEL
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
VST
0 - 1
FCB
52%
23%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
FCB
0 - 0
SPB
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |