Oriental Lisboa vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 2
ORI
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 1
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SER
3 - 1
ORI
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
ORI
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 2
OEI
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 1
FAR
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 1
OEI
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 2
FAR
18%
25%
57%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
QUA
2 - 3
FAR
7%
14%
80%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 1
CFB
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |