Oriental Lisboa vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
28.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
BMA
2 - 3
ORI
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
BEL
3 - 1
ORI
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
ORI
3 - 2
LEX
41%
29%
31%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
BOA
3 - 1
ORI
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
ORI
0 - 3
VST
18%
29%
54%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 1
BEL
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
LEX
0 - 0
FAR
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
FAR
4 - 1
BOA
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
VST
1 - 0
FAR
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
FAR
1 - 1
FCB
60%
23%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |