Oriental Lisboa vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1974 |
FAR
2 - 1
ORI
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
ORI
0 - 1
BMA
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
SLB
8 - 0
ORI
92%
6%
3%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
ORI
2 - 3
BEL
29%
31%
39%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
LEX
1 - 3
ORI
65%
22%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
LEX
3 - 1
FAB
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
FAB
2 - 0
BMA
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 0
BOA
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
VST
2 - 0
FAB
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |