Oriental Lisboa vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
FCP
5 - 0
ORI
89%
7%
4%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
ORI
2 - 0
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
SCP
3 - 1
ORI
92%
5%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
ORI
1 - 1
SLB
10%
15%
75%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 1
ORI
72%
15%
13%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 0
ATL
61%
20%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
BEL
5 - 1
FAB
89%
7%
4%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 0
CAL
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 1
FAB
68%
17%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
FCP
4 - 0
FAB
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |