Oriental Lisboa vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ORI
1 - 0
ALI
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PRA
0 - 1
ORI
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ORI
3 - 0
OEL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ORI
7 - 0
UNI
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SIN
0 - 2
ORI
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 1
1DE
47%
27%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
IDE
1 - 2
CAS
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ALJ
2 - 2
CAS
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 2
LOU
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAS
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |