Oriental Lisboa vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
EVN
1 - 3
ORI
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ORI
2 - 0
1DE
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 5
ORI
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TOU
0 - 4
ORI
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 1
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOU
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAL
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
CAL
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 0
MON
72%
18%
11%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |