Oriental Lisboa vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
FCB
2 - 2
ORI
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
SPB
5 - 0
ORI
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 0
SLB
15%
20%
65%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
VST
0 - 1
ORI
71%
16%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
ORI
3 - 2
SAL
50%
22%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
CAL
3 - 2
SLB
9%
16%
75%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
VST
5 - 2
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 1
SAL
57%
20%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
CAL
2 - 2
FAB
57%
21%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |