Oriental Lisboa vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
63.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
FAB
3 - 0
ORI
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
ORI
0 - 0
ESP
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
BOA
3 - 0
ORI
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ORI
3 - 3
LEX
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
FAR
1 - 0
ORI
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 1
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
SLB
0 - 0
CZJ
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ESP
1 - 2
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |