Oriental Lisboa vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
74.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
FCB
1 - 1
ORI
69%
17%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ORI
2 - 2
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ORI
1 - 1
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ATL
6 - 2
ORI
69%
16%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ORI
0 - 0
BOA
55%
21%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 0
ATL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
BOA
1 - 3
SLB
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
VST
5 - 3
SLB
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |