Oriental Lisboa vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
LGC
3 - 1
ORI
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
ORI
1 - 3
ACA
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
FCP
5 - 0
ORI
83%
11%
7%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
ORI
0 - 0
CAL
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
FCB
2 - 2
ORI
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
39%
22%
39%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
VST
1 - 1
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
BEL
6 - 2
SAL
88%
8%
4%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
TOR
2 - 1
BEL
21%
22%
57%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
BEL
4 - 0
FAB
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |